Clik here to view.
Nicholas Eberstadt: World Population Prospects and the Global Economic Outlook
In a February 2011 working paper, Nicholas Eberstadt of the American Enterprise Institute writes (bold emphasis is our own): On demographic changes in emerging markets: “For today‘s affluent Western...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Demographic Megatrends of the 21st Century
by SAMI KARAM (also published at Seeking Alpha) The world’s changing demographics will have a far-reaching impact on our economy. Context, as we know, can be very important in economics and in...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Forbes: Russian Demography and the Difficulty of Prediction
MARK ADOMANIS, ‘The Russia Hand’ at FORBES who has recently highlighted an improvement in Russian demographics, writes today: While perusing the always-excellent Beyond BRICS, a site which I strongly...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Russia’s Population is Growing For The First Time Since The Early 1990′s
MARK ADOMANIS writes at FORBES: I’ve written numerous times before about the sharp improvement in Russia‘s demographic indicators through the first half of 2012 and the fact that the country was likely...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Demography Charts – 1
13 November 2014 Below are charts of country and regional dependency ratios. First some definitions: The total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 0-14 and 65+ to the population aged...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The BRIC and I
12 January 2015 The growth prospects of Brazil, Russia and China are dimming, while those of India are flaring. If one is a lonely number, then ‘I’ could be a lonely letter, at least when it comes to...
View ArticleThe Candidates’ Other Demographic Challenge
It is massively larger than 11 million illegals. Hans Rosling, co-founder of Gapminder, calls it “the biggest change of our time”. It is Africa’s population growth from 1 billion people today to 2.5...
View ArticleWorking Age Population Around the World 1960-2050
A fast growing economy usually requires a growing working-age population. It is informative in this regard to look at the size of the working-age population (wap) for different regions and countries...
View ArticleRise of the Rest: A Vision Deferred
Changing demographics and the commodities crash have slowed down the development of poorer countries. Perhaps it all started with a turn in China’s demographics. Demand growth for commodities has...
View ArticleThe Futility of Annual Top 10 Predictions
In every recent year, a black swan event has made top 10 lists appear quaintly naive and unimaginative. Our list is probably no better. This time of year, top 10 predictions are all the rage. These...
View ArticleCapitalism Did Not Win the Cold War
This article first appeared at Foreign Affairs. Why cronyism was the real victor. When the Soviet Union collapsed 26 years ago, it was generally agreed that the West had won the Cold War. This was...
View ArticleUpdate: Working Age Population Around the World 1960-2050
Updated tables of estimates for the working age population in various countries and regions, with projections to 2100.Read more Update: Working Age Population Around the World 1960-2050
View ArticleDemographics of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine
Russian demographics were already weak before the invasion, creating a challenge for the economy. The imposition of sanctions and the destruction of Ukraine make the challenge even more daunting.Read...
View Article2022 French Elections with Axel Gyldén, 16 April 2022
Next week is the second round of France's Presidential election. Sami J. Karam speaks with L'Express veteran reporter Axel Gyldén about what is coming.Read more 2022 French Elections with Axel Gyldén,...
View ArticleChina After the Dividend
China had unprecedented success in realizing a demographic dividend. Now that the dividend is behind us, does China have the necessary tools to prolong its prosperity? This post tries to answer by...
View Article
